Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.883450 4.489999 5.162727 5.964664 6.895321 7.942228 9.210540
2024-10-13 3.173560 3.990920 4.977885 6.259459 7.882957 9.875658 12.514386
2024-10-20 2.600425 3.518481 4.712374 6.383433 8.670229 11.702175 16.047740
2024-10-27 2.055802 2.968096 4.235288 6.131792 8.912960 12.865259 18.949994
2024-11-03 1.810262 2.773944 4.196058 6.460130 9.999952 15.365334 24.196049
2024-11-10 1.632168 2.641204 4.215268 6.868030 11.268359 18.348587 30.748950
2024-11-17 1.446559 2.460301 4.124047 7.078265 12.252807 21.050596 37.372406
2024-11-24 1.261309 2.245330 3.937295 7.089598 12.895670 23.283939 43.615538
2024-12-01 1.071396 1.988564 3.634361 6.839237 13.021980 24.618185 48.468002
2024-12-08 0.911247 1.758097 3.339166 6.547397 13.010061 25.677874 52.973210
2024-12-15 0.825594 1.653566 3.259820 6.651938 13.778298 28.360331 61.242503
2024-12-22 0.730274 1.514391 3.090815 6.546255 14.096423 30.180017 68.031376
2024-12-29 0.694217 1.494777 3.167643 6.985764 15.692547 35.071763 82.860284
2025-01-05 0.640292 1.428840 3.138318 7.193485 16.826502 39.188039 96.863939
2025-01-12 0.580709 1.340716 3.047051 7.246701 17.620762 42.693394 110.216464
2025-01-19 0.502048 1.196125 2.805767 6.905169 17.406303 43.756974 117.642265
2025-01-26 0.475966 1.171383 2.839055 7.239260 18.944000 49.483895 138.792003
2025-02-02 0.457247 1.161484 2.906420 7.672698 20.828481 56.495695 165.206234
2025-02-09 0.428554 1.121601 2.892681 7.891656 22.182114 62.363450 189.761981
2025-02-16 0.392636 1.056942 2.804793 7.893612 22.932262 66.705347 210.801767
2025-02-23 0.348667 0.963500 2.625719 7.607379 22.793756 68.452033 224.146482
2025-03-02 0.308465 0.873991 2.443078 7.277713 22.461142 69.552138 235.670588
2025-03-09 0.288909 0.840029 2.410775 7.391611 23.525475 75.209688 264.094651